Prediction of Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallo at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris 10-28-25

• Recent second serve performance: Tallon Griekspoor wins 47.60% on second serve, slightly outperforming Gabriel Diallo's 45.24%. Does this give Griekspoor an edge? Likely, yes.
• Return game effectiveness: Griekspoor takes 44.07% of his opponent's second serve points, whereas Diallo takes 40.43%. For first serve returns, Griekspoor edges slightly with 22.48% against Diallo's 22.45%.
• Handling pressure: Griekspoor saves 61.21% of breakpoints, compared to Diallo's 58.12% save rate, indicating stronger mental resilience from Griekspoor.
• Match performance in the past year: Griekspoor won 55.93% of matches (W/L 33/26) versus Diallo's nearly identical 55.88% (W/L 38/30). But who has faced tougher competition?
• Preferred playing surfaces: Griekspoor excels on Grass (67% win rate), while Diallo prefers I.hard (67% win rate).
• Main tour experience: Griekspoor boasts a higher win percentage (63.33%) on the Main tour than Diallo's 58.62%.
• Direct head-to-head results: Griekspoor leads with 2 wins against Diallo from their 2 encounters.
• Past match dynamics: Both have played 6 sets, with Griekspoor winning 5. Their last clash on Grass saw Griekspoor triumph 6-4, 6-4.
• Average opponent quality: Griekspoor's opponents, on average, rank higher at 62.22 compared to Diallo's 80.91, hinting at tougher competition faced.
• Deciding set statistics: Griekspoor demonstrates superior performance in deciding sets, winning 60% compared to Diallo's 48%.
• Current event performance might offer additional insights if matches have been played in this event.

Editorial Prediction (October 28, 2025, UTC):

Assessing their recent performance, Tallon Griekspoor exhibits a slight advantage over Gabriel Diallo, particularly in serving and return games, as well as in pressure situations.

Both players show similar overall match records over the past year, yet Griekspoor has faced stronger competition and consistently delivered more decisive head-to-head victories against Diallo. His higher win rate on the Main tour further highlights his advantageous position.

When it comes to playing surfaces, Griekspoor's proficiency on Grass, combined with past victories against Diallo, positions him favorably for the upcoming match.

Based on these observations, Tallon Griekspoor is the likely candidate to win this next encounter.